Western Bulldogs v Melbourne
Docklands
14.9
93
13.12
90
Western Bulldogs won by 3 points
IN
Croft
Jaques
Cleary
O'Donnell
Treloar
Williams
Davidson
Baker
Busslinger
Emmett
OUT
IN
Windsor
Pickett
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.18 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.15 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.50 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.42 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.39 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.9 | -0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.