Melbourne v Richmond
2025-04-24 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

12.11

83

9.9

63

Melbourne won by 20 points

IN

Fritsch

McVee

May

Melksham

Howes

Turner

OUT

IN

Gray

Mansell

Balta

Ryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	1.0	0.49
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	2.6	0.45
		80%	28 points	✓	8.3	0.68
		77%	27 points	✓	7.1	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	6.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	4.8	0.60
		76%	20 points	✓	0.3	0.60
		75%	20 points	✓	0.4	0.59
Punters		74%	23 points	✓	2.8	0.57
		74%	27 points	✓	7.0	0.57
		72%	19 points	✓	1.4	0.52
		72%	20 points	✓	0.2	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	0.9	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	0.5	0.48
		70%	16 points	✓	4.5	0.48
		69%	20 points	✓	0.3	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.45
		68%	23 points	✓	3.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	4.3	0.42
		66%	20 points	✓	0.0	0.40
		63%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	10.0	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	7.6	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.29
		59%	9 points	✓	11.2	0.23
		59%	6 points	✓	13.8	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	13.2	0.22
		52%	2 points	✓	17.7	0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.