Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park
19.17
131
8.8
56
Geelong won by 75 points
IN
Martin
Blicavs
Dangerfield
Miers
Close
O'Connor
OUT
IN
Lewis
Jaques
Liberatore
Budarick
Gallagher
Dolan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 71.4 | 0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 70.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✓ | 56.6 | 0.55 |
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.52 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 16 points | ✓ | 59.2 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 67.5 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 66.8 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 67.5 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 67.5 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 68.6 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 67.4 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 67.9 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 69.3 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 69.3 | 0.19 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 67.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 69.6 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 73.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 74.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 72.5 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 73.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 74.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 77.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 80.6 | -0.21 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 84.5 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.