Adelaide v St Kilda
2026-04-18 19:35:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

15.13

103

15.12

102

Adelaide won by 1 point

IN

Edwards

Pedlar

Bond

Butts

Dawson

Soligo

Hinge

Borlase

OUT

IN

Stocker

Tauru

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	14 points	✓	12.7	0.41
Aggregate		69%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.46
		82%	32 points	✓	31.0	0.71
		81%	43 points	✓	42.0	0.70
		81%	26 points	✓	24.7	0.69
		79%	30 points	✓	29.0	0.66
		78%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	25.0	0.62
		76%	19 points	✓	18.0	0.60
		75%	26 points	✓	25.3	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	22.0	0.58
		75%	20 points	✓	19.0	0.58
		75%	20 points	✓	18.5	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	19.8	0.57
		72%	18 points	✓	16.6	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	17.3	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.49
		68%	16 points	✓	15.3	0.45
		68%	20 points	✓	18.7	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	13.0	0.44
		66%	14 points	✓	13.0	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	11.8	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	13.4	0.40
		60%	8 points	✓	7.2	0.27
		60%	15 points	✓	14.0	0.26
Punters		59%	8 points	✓	6.9	0.24
		57%	7 points	✓	5.8	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	4.2	0.17
		56%	9 points	✓	8.4	0.16
		52%	2 points	✓	0.7	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	0.2	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.